Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 2078.135030 2266.637379 2459.406474 2670.995127 2896.423573 3129.127517 3387.208066
2024-10-06 1810.243727 2091.437821 2391.494135 2734.369731 3114.163085 3520.811933 3987.955186
2024-10-13 1609.826728 1943.001952 2310.063760 2742.106321 3234.276571 3775.053666 4411.657790
2024-10-20 1457.962861 1826.600610 2243.847445 2747.201540 3333.932845 3992.215996 4782.405386
2024-10-27 1282.159024 1664.939875 2109.478464 2658.294868 3311.775227 4059.090785 4972.118008
2024-11-03 1225.741058 1638.501660 2127.858503 2743.183351 3488.180071 4352.877459 5423.738396
2024-11-10 1160.592576 1595.075683 2120.401190 2792.443342 3618.851200 4591.259333 5810.565564
2024-11-17 1079.029990 1524.780109 2074.362887 2789.478056 3682.282492 4746.819086 6097.664803
2024-11-24 993.718430 1443.744614 2009.458766 2757.938806 3706.277381 4851.567877 6321.592368
2024-12-01 942.824520 1404.059334 1993.889322 2785.757405 3802.000033 5042.888437 6651.287019
2024-12-08 885.217894 1351.649298 1958.504730 2785.183817 3859.628435 5185.860220 6921.398523
2024-12-15 853.778194 1332.662828 1965.204054 2837.839159 3984.465870 5412.973603 7297.644817
2024-12-22 798.582237 1278.629018 1923.808349 2826.797683 4028.056359 5540.301222 7553.709818
2024-12-29 775.066928 1267.954249 1940.127207 2892.265680 4171.924544 5796.734756 7976.207105
2025-01-05 733.588418 1228.900602 1915.277770 2900.330399 4238.938305 5954.330980 8273.740439
2025-01-12 694.413257 1190.880151 1889.769991 2905.651609 4301.012668 6105.072365 8563.096668
2025-01-19 627.285828 1107.245198 1796.019022 2812.781854 4227.447256 6075.964361 8617.564464
2025-01-26 619.981962 1114.181897 1831.886406 2901.454939 4401.324074 6373.826271 9100.833457
2025-02-02 602.227934 1103.809120 1841.766761 2952.898799 4524.320410 6605.266723 9499.174279
2025-02-09 570.241656 1069.245981 1814.468193 2949.802302 4570.975876 6734.643851 9763.572524
2025-02-16 532.348851 1023.097178 1767.875926 2916.865489 4574.377483 6804.865991 9949.142239
2025-02-23 512.960970 1006.023773 1764.229115 2945.916971 4664.711095 6993.046161 10293.587469
2025-03-02 487.312487 977.145410 1741.248119 2945.317991 4712.253128 7122.834224 10560.315178